KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualFed maintains rate 66%-13.0%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,2 €
Liquidez
19,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
67.0% / 83.0%
Spread
23.9%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
29 sept 25, 14:0028 oct 26, 17:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Fed maintains rate66%
Comparar plataformas· Fed maintains rate
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMás activa | 71% | — | 15,7 mil € | 219,2 mil € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | 66% | — | 2,2 € | 19,8 mil € | hace 5 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Fed Decision in October?
3.0%3m
+3.0%71%
+1.5%14%
-2.0%13%
+2 resultados más
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total167,3 mil €
Volumen 24h15,7 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$22 jul7d de datos8 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
582,2 mil €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
7,3 mil €Fed maintains rate: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
233,2 €Hike 25bps: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
46,8 €Hike >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
8,8 €Cut 25bps: 7%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Apr 2027?
0,9 €Hike 25bps: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.