KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%
Calidad del mercado
79 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
180,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
3.3% / 4.9%
Spread
1.6 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
6 ene 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Fed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiFed rate cut by which date?
PolymarketFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
PolymarketECB rate cut in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExFed rate cut by which date?
LimitlessReglas
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve
- For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
- The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Mercados abiertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 543,5 mil €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Está previsto que Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.