Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 6%-6.3%

Calidad del mercado

89 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

10,6 mil €

Liquidez

177 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderado

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

6 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Yes6%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Tendencia de volumen

$12.1k

2 jul7d de datos8 jul

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Mercados Relacionados

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 M €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8 mil €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9 mil €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3 mil €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Reglas

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 6%-6.3%

Calidad del mercado

89 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

10,6 mil €

Liquidez

177 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderado

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

6 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Yes6%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Tendencia de volumen

$12.1k

2 jul7d de datos8 jul

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Mercados Relacionados

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 M €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8 mil €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9 mil €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3 mil €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Reglas

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.