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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Fed
  3. ECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

0.5% (24h)FedOne-OffEuropeCentral Banks6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 14%+0.0%
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,5 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

+0.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

23 dic 25, 22:4631 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes14%

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.53%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.42+1.74%

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Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

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Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%BNBBNB$597.15+1.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%CardanoADA$0.1654+2.63%HyperliquidHYPE$56.06+0.99%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.46%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain ReporterBitcoin price falls below $60K as hot U.S. jobs report crushes rate cut hopesCrypto News

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.