Central Banks

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

0.6 pt (24h)3d

25 bps increase

-0.6pt98%

No change

-0.1pt1%

50+ bps increase

+0.6pt1%

+2 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithm25 bps increase98%· 1 pt de dispersion entre venues

Alta calidad (84)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total816,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h42,7 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

H 0

59%

H 25

33.3%

C 25

3.8%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (63)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen 24h61,3 mil US$

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

Hike 25bps

-1.0pt94.2%

Hike more than 25bps

1.9%

Maintain current rate

1.9%

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (81)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total238,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h9,3 mil US$

KALSHI

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

0.1 pt (24h)1m

No change

-2.0pt51%

25 bps increase

+3.0pt48%

50+ bps increase

+0.5pt1%

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (78)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total131,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h12,5 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

9.2 pt (24h)1m

No Change

-9.4pt64.7%

25 bps increase

+9.2pt35.4%

50+ bps increase

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (76)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total80,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h7,6 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in November?

0.5 pt (24h)1m

No change

+7.0pt52%

25 bps increase

+0.5pt48%

50+ bps decrease

-0.1pt0%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (69)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total72,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h6,6 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in September?

1.1 pt (24h)2d

No change

-0.7pt94%

25 bps increase

+1.1pt6%

50+ bps decrease

+0.1pt0%

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (76)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total287,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h3,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

0.9 pt (24h)6h

25 bps decrease

+0.9pt98%

No Change

-0.9pt1%

50+ bps decrease

+0.3pt1%

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (76)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total148,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h4,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)

2.0 pt (24h)10m

H 0

+2.0pt72%

C 25

-1.0pt11.2%

H 25

9.3%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (53)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidez

Volumen 24h7,5 mil US$

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

8.0 pt (24h)1m

Maintains rate

-8.0pt62.1%

Hike 25bps

+11.0pt35%

Hike >25bps

-2.0pt1%

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (77)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total104,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h3,1 mil US$

KALSHI

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 5 cuts

36.8%

7 or more cuts

31.1%

Exactly 6 cuts

29.3%

+3 resultados más

Calidad media (73)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total112,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,8 mil US$

KALSHI

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

5.2 pt (24h)4m

3.1%+

81%

1.0–1.2%

+0.5pt3%

2.5–2.7%

+0.7pt3%

+6 resultados más

Calidad media (61)Spread moderadoAlta liquidez

Volumen total113,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

1.7 pt (24h)3m

100%

Sí

-1.7pt0%

Calidad media (73)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total59,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,3 mil US$

KALSHI

Hungary rate decision in September

6.0 pt (24h)7d

Maintain current rate

82.2%

Cut 25bps

7.6%

Cut more than 50bps

+6.0pt5.9%

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (54)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total43,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,3 mil US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

12.0 pt (24h)1m

No change

+12.0pt70.5%

25 bps increase

-3.4pt23.8%

50+ bps decrease

-0.3pt1.9%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (67)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total46,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate decision in September

4.0 pt (24h)2d

Maintain current rate

-1.0pt90.4%

Hike 1-25bps

+4.0pt6.7%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (71)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total35,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,1 mil US$

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in October

10.0 pt (24h)1m

Maintain current rate

47.9%

Hike 1-25bps

+10.0pt43.7%

Cut 1-25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (51)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total12 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,8 mil US$

KALSHI

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

4.0 pt (24h)3m

Exactly 2.25%

-9.0pt54%

Exactly 2.50%

+14.0pt42%

Exactly 2.00%

24%

+5 resultados más

Baja calidad (46)Spread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total16 mil US$

Volumen 24h1 mil US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

18.0 pt (24h)21d

No Change

-6.0pt46.6%

25 bps increase

+18.0pt45.6%

50+ bps increase

+0.3pt3.9%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (62)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total8,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,8 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

15.5 pt (24h)2m

25 bps increase

+17.0pt50.5%

No Change

-15.5pt47.5%

50+ bps increase

-2.9pt1%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (68)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total5,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

6.0 pt (24h)14d

25 bps increase

-6.0pt83.2%

No change

+10.1pt13.9%

50+ bps decrease

-0.1pt1%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (69)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total73,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h980,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

2.0 pt (24h)12d

Hike 1-25bps

-3.0pt85.3%

Maintain current rate

+2.0pt8.8%

Hike more than 25bps

2.9%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (64)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total71,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h714,5 US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

4.0 pt (24h)1m

No change

+0.5pt73.5%

25 bps increase

-4.0pt26.5%

50+ bps decrease

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (70)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total39,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h652,9 US$

POLYMARKET

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September

15d

Above -0.56

66%

Above -0.54

51%

Above -0.52

34%

+4 resultados más

Baja calidad (39)Spread amplioBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total1,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h1,6 mil US$

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

23.5 pt (24h)3m

Sí

+23.5pt66.3%

-23.5pt33.7%

Calidad media (58)Spread moderadoBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total22,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h663,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Swiss National Bank decision in September?

2.8 pt (24h)8d

No Change

+2.8pt89.6%

25 bps increase

+0.2pt3.8%

25 bps decrease

+0.2pt2.8%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (57)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total7,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h827,8 US$

POLYMARKET

Swiss National Bank rate decision in September

4.0 pt (24h)9d

Maintain current rate

+4.0pt90.4%

Hike 1-25bps

9.6%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (60)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total6,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h468,8 US$

KALSHI

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September

4.0 pt (24h)8d

Hike 1-25bps

+4.0pt54.5%

Maintain current rate

30.7%

Cut 1-25bps

7.9%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (58)Spread moderadoBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total4,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h491 US$

KALSHI

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

0.3 pt (24h)1m

No change

+1.5pt87.1%

25 bps increase

11.9%

50+ bps increase

-0.3pt1%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (68)Spread estrechoLiquidez media

Volumen total88,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h132 US$

POLYMARKET

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September

1.0 pt (24h)1d

Cut 25bps

-1.0pt96%

Hike 50bps

21%

Cut 50bps

-5.0pt7%

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (63)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total61,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h186,9 US$

KALSHI

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

10.0 pt (24h)3m

-10.0pt54%

Sí

+10.0pt46%

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread estrechoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total22 mil US$

Volumen 24h221,6 US$

POLYMARKET

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

5.0 pt (24h)3m

Exactly 0ㅤ

-1.0pt85.7%

Exactly 1ㅤ

+5.0pt10.5%

Exactly 2ㅤ

0.9%

+3 resultados más

Calidad media (64)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total22,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h129,2 US$

KALSHI

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August

Above -0.10

75%

Above -0.40

Above -0.30

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (51)Spread estrechoBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total256 US$

Volumen 24h256 US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

5.0 pt (24h)1m

Maintain current rate

+3.0pt66.7%

Hike 1-25bps

-5.0pt29.4%

Hike more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (49)Spread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total5,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h183,7 US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October

9.0 pt (24h)21d

Maintain current rate

-9.0pt44.7%

Hike 1-25bps

32.5%

Cut 1-25bps

11.4%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (41)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total3,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h120 US$

KALSHI

Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?

2.0 pt (24h)2m

Maintains rate

-2.0pt49.1%

Hike 25bps

38.8%

Cut >25bps

10.3%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (30)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total3 mil US$

Volumen 24h103,7 US$

KALSHI

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

2.7 pt (24h)2a

93%

Sí

+2.7pt7%

Calidad media (65)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total131,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h13,1 US$

KALSHI

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

No change

32.2%

25 bps increase

31.4%

25 bps decrease

14.1%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (24)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total111,4 US$

Volumen 24h111,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Czech National Bank rate decision in September

1.0 pt (24h)2d

Maintain current rate

91.7%

Hike 25bps

+1.0pt2.8%

Cut 25bps

1.9%

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (64)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total53,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h71,3 US$

KALSHI

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

0.5 pt (24h)3m

Sí

-0.5pt77%

+0.5pt23%

Baja calidad (44)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total55,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h5 US$

POLYMARKET

Norway rate decision in September

1.0 pt (24h)9d

Maintain current rate

+1.0pt49.1%

Hike 1-25bps

47.3%

Cut 1-25bps

1.8%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (41)Spread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total35 mil US$

Volumen 24h17,9 US$

KALSHI

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

0.5 pt (24h)1m

3.0–3.4%

33.3%

2.5–2.9%

+0.5pt31.5%

2.0–2.4%

-0.5pt13.9%

+5 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithm3.0–3.4%36%· 1 pt de dispersion entre venues

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total44,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

POLYMARKET

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

0.5 pt (24h)1m

25 bps decrease

-0.5pt59.4%

No Change

34.6%

50+ bps decrease

5.9%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (62)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total15,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h39,9 US$

POLYMARKET

ECB rate cut in 2026?

95%

Sí

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total33,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

POLYMARKET

Sweden rate decision in September

Maintain current rate

78%

Hike 1-25bps

15%

Cut 1-25bps

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (40)Spread desconocidoLiquidez media

Volumen total25 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

Bank of Korea decision in November?

25 bps hike

64.1%

No Change

29.1%

50+ bps hike

4.8%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (59)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total17,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h5 US$

POLYMARKET

Bank Indonesia rate decision in September

Maintain current rate

74.5%

Hike 1-25bps

18.6%

Cut 1-25bps

2.9%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (39)Spread desconocidoLiquidez media

Volumen total17,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

8.0 pt (24h)1m

Above 4.8%

93%

Above 5.2%

79%

Above 5.4%

62%

+5 resultados más

Baja calidad (47)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total6,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h29,8 US$

KALSHI

Criptoactivos Relacionados

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in September?

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

Hungary rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Bank of England rate decision in September

European Central Bank rate decision in October

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Swiss National Bank decision in September?

Swiss National Bank rate decision in September

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October

Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

Czech National Bank rate decision in September

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Norway rate decision in September

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Sweden rate decision in September

Bank of Korea decision in November?

Bank Indonesia rate decision in September

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

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