Central Banks

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

0.3 pt (24h)8d

25 bps increase

-0.3pt97%

No change

+0.3pt2%

50+ bps increase

+0.2pt1%

+2 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithm25 bps increase97%· 0 pt de dispersion entre venues

Alta calidad (84)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total705,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h19,2 mil US$

POLYMARKET

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

0.1 pt (24h)15h

25 bps increase

+0.1pt100%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

+2 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithm25 bps increase100%· 1 pt de dispersion entre venues

Alta calidad (86)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total517,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h25,6 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

Hike 25bps

95.1%

Maintain current rate

Hike more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (59)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total187,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h18,5 mil US$

KALSHI

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

10.0 pt (24h)1m

No change

-9.5pt81%

25 bps increase

+10.0pt19%

50+ bps decrease

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (76)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total84,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h27,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

European Central Bank rate decision in September

16h

Hike 1-25bps

95.2%

Maintain current rate

1.9%

Hike more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (55)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total92,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h9,7 mil US$

KALSHI

Czech National Bank rate decision in September

11.0 pt (24h)7d

Maintain current rate

+11.0pt92.5%

Hike 25bps

-31.0pt1.9%

Cut 50bps

1.9%

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (73)Spread moderadoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total51,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h9,8 mil US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

16.7 pt (24h)20d

25 bps increase

+16.7pt81.6%

No change

-17.6pt18.4%

50+ bps decrease

-0.4pt0%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (70)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total65,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h6,9 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in November?

23.5 pt (24h)1m

25 bps increase

+23.5pt52.1%

No change

-37.5pt37.5%

50+ bps increase

+9.3pt10.4%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (69)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total48 mil US$

Volumen 24h6,3 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

2.0 pt (24h)1m

No change

-0.5pt88.1%

25 bps increase

+2.0pt11.9%

50+ bps decrease

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (70)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total31,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h7,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in September?

0.3 pt (24h)8d

No change

-0.3pt97%

25 bps increase

+0.2pt3%

50+ bps decrease

+2 resultados más

Alta calidad (75)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total254,5 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,8 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

1.0 pt (24h)1m

H 0

+1.0pt63.3%

H 25

25.7%

C 25

5.5%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (56)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen 24h7,1 mil US$

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Norway rate decision in September

14d

Hike more than 25bps

Cut 1-25bps

Cut more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (66)Spread estrechoLiquidez media

Volumen total6,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h6,6 mil US$

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

5.1 pt (24h)1m

No Change

-5.1pt87.5%

25 bps increase

+2.3pt12.5%

50+ bps increase

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (65)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total59,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h3,7 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change

-0.5pt82.8%

25 bps increase

17.2%

50+ bps decrease

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (71)Spread estrechoLiquidez media

Volumen total78,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

9.5 pt (24h)3m

Sí

+9.5pt65%

-9.5pt35%

Calidad media (65)Spread moderadoBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total52,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase

62.9%

No change

27.8%

25 bps decrease

5.2%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (70)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total3,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h3,4 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Maintains rate

-5.0pt83.5%

Hike 25bps

13.6%

Cut >25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (50)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidez

Volumen total93,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h974,8 US$

KALSHI

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

1.8 pt (24h)5d

25 bps decrease

-1.8pt96.9%

No Change

+1.3pt3.1%

50+ bps increase

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (61)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total135,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h571,3 US$

POLYMARKET

Swiss National Bank rate decision in September

14d

Hike 1-25bps

13%

Cut more than 25bps

Cut 1-25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (60)Spread estrechoBaja liquidez

Volumen total2,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h2,3 mil US$

KALSHI

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September

1.0 pt (24h)7d

Cut 25bps

-1.0pt94%

Hike 50bps

21%

Cut 50bps

11%

+4 resultados más

Calidad media (56)Spread moderadoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total53,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h856,3 US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

12.0 pt (24h)18d

Hike 1-25bps

+12.0pt76%

Maintain current rate

-13.0pt21%

Cut 1-25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (70)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total65,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h669 US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

2.5 pt (24h)1m

No change

+2.5pt67.7%

25 bps increase

-0.6pt30.4%

50+ bps decrease

+0.1pt1%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (66)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total40,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h973,6 US$

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)

10m

H 0

78.3%

C 25

8.3%

H 25

-3.0pt6.2%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (53)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidez

Volumen 24h1,8 mil US$

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

ECB rate cut in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)3m

-1.0pt94.1%

Sí

+1.0pt5.9%

Calidad media (67)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total32,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h450,6 US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate decision in September

2.0 pt (24h)7d

Maintain current rate

93.1%

Hike 1-25bps

-2.0pt3.9%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (68)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total27,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h508,4 US$

KALSHI

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

5.5 pt (24h)3m

-5.5pt64%

Sí

+5.5pt36%

Baja calidad (49)Spread amplioBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total21,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h509,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change

+1.0pt75%

25 bps hike

22.1%

50+ bps cut

+2 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithmNo Change78%· 1 pt de dispersion entre venues

Calidad media (64)Spread estrechoLiquidez media

Volumen total10,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h280,7 US$

POLYMARKET

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 5 cuts

35%

7 or more cuts

-3.0pt34%

Exactly 6 cuts

28%

+3 resultados más

Baja calidad (47)Spread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total96,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h141,3 US$

KALSHI

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

8.0 pt (24h)1m

Cut more than 25bps

98%

Maintain current rate

79%

Hike 1-25bps

+8.0pt28%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (47)Spread moderadoBaja liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total1,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h301 US$

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

25 bps increase

40%

No Change

39%

50+ bps increase

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (53)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total689,1 US$

Volumen 24h689,1 US$

POLYMARKET

Hungary rate decision in September

8.0 pt (24h)12d

Maintain current rate

84.8%

Cut 25bps

+8.0pt9.1%

Hike 25bps

+4 resultados más

Baja calidad (46)Spread desconocidoLiquidez media

Volumen total40,3 mil US$

Volumen 24h200 US$

KALSHI

Bank of Korea decision in November?

29.0 pt (24h)2m

25 bps hike

+13.0pt57%

No Change

-29.0pt23%

25 bps cut

+8.9pt17%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (40)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total13,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h243,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

2.0 pt (24h)3m

Exactly 2.25%

+2.0pt56.8%

Exactly 2.50%

+1.0pt31.4%

Exactly 1.75%

4.2%

+5 resultados más

Calidad media (53)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total13,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h227,3 US$

KALSHI

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)3m

Exactly 0ㅤ

+1.0pt86.1%

Exactly 1ㅤ

+4.0pt10.2%

Exactly 2ㅤ

0.9%

+3 resultados más

Calidad media (58)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total21,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h120 US$

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

5.0 pt (24h)1m

Maintain current rate

+5.0pt82.5%

Hike 1-25bps

13.6%

Hike more than 25bps

1.9%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (54)Spread amplioLiquidez media

Volumen total4,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h217 US$

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in December

63.0 pt (24h)3m

Maintain current rate

57%

Cut 1-25bps

31%

Hike 1-25bps

28%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (41)Spread moderadoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total226,4 US$

Volumen 24h115 US$

KALSHI

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

3.1%+

83.5%

2.8-3.0%

-0.6pt8.3%

1.0–1.2%

3.1%

+6 resultados más

Calidad media (69)Spread estrechoAlta liquidez

Volumen total112,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h72,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

92%

Sí

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread moderadoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total131,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

98%

Sí

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total56,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

3.0–3.4%

34.7%

2.5–2.9%

24.5%

2.0–2.4%

16.3%

+5 resultados más

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total43,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

2.0 pt (24h)3m

+2.0pt63.4%

Sí

-2.0pt36.6%

Baja calidad (33)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total21,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

POLYMARKET

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

25 bps decrease

60.2%

No Change

35%

50+ bps decrease

-0.5pt4.8%

+2 resultados más

Calidad media (60)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total14,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h10,2 US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate decision in December

8.0 pt (24h)3m

Maintain current rate

-8.0pt30.3%

Hike 1-25bps

29.4%

Cut 1-25bps

25.7%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (40)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total4,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h56,2 US$

KALSHI

Bank of England rate decision in November

26.0 pt (24h)1m

Maintain current rate

81%

Hike 1-25bps

+26.0pt44%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (31)Spread amplioLiquidez media

Volumen total6,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h10 US$

KALSHI

South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?

3.0 pt (24h)13d

Increase

50.5%

No Change

-3.0pt41.3%

Decrease

+0.9pt8.3%

Baja calidad (29)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total3,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h40,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan rate decision in October

Maintain current rate

77.5%

Hike 25bps

19.6%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread moderadoLiquidez media

Volumen total6,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

Above 4.8%

93%

Above 5.2%

78%

Above 5.4%

64%

+5 resultados más

Baja calidad (41)Spread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total6 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in October

Maintain current rate

81.1%

Hike 1-25bps

8.5%

Cut 1-25bps

5.7%

+2 resultados más

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread estrechoLiquidez media

Volumen total4,4 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

Criptoactivos Relacionados

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Bank of England decision in November?

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Bank of Korea decision in November?

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Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

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