PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No change 96%+5.5ptLíder entre 5 opciones
No change 96%+5.5ptCalidad del mercado
80 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
3,9 mil €
Liquidez
87,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+19.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
31 jul 26, 23:42 UTC30 oct 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
PolymarketWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBank of Japan rate decision in December
KalshiWill the Bank of Japan leave the rate unchanged at the October 30, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExFed Decision in October?
PolymarketFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Reglas
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
- If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para No change es del 97%. La dispersión entre plataformas es de unos 3 puntos porcentuales. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm No change 97% · 2 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Kalshi — Bank of Japan rate decision in October · Maintain current rate 93%
- También disponible en Limitless — Bank of Japan Decision in October? · No change 96%
- También disponible en Futuur — Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026 · No change 91%