PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
25 bps increase 70.8%+21.5ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
51 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
2,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
18 sept 26, 23:57 UTC18 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketBank of Japan Decision in October?
LimitlessBank of Japan rate decision in October
KalshiWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026
FutuurWill the Bank of Japan leave the rate unchanged at the October 30, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExReglas
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- H 077%
- H 2621%
- H 2513%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,5 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in November?
- 25 bps hike-9.0pt53.9%
- No Change+8.0pt41.2%
- 50+ bps hike+1.1pt3.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETSwiss National Bank decision in September?
- No Change100%
- 50+ bps increase0%
- 25 bps increase0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,4 mil €
KALSHICentral Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
- Cut 1-25bps57%
- Maintain current rate-31.0pt6%
- Hike 1-25bps2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,7 mil €
KALSHIHungary rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-1.0pt88.7%
- Cut more than 50bps+2.0pt2.8%
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt82.3%
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt16.7%
- 50+ bps increase-2.0pt1%
+2 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- Polymarket cotiza 25 bps increase al 71% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- Está previsto que Bank of Japan Decision in December? se resuelva el 18 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.