PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
25 bps increase 57.7%-0.5ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
51 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
603,9 €
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
14 sept 26, 22:13 UTC17 dic 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 56%
Mercados abiertos
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt46.8%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt46.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt3.2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 109,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 20,7 mil €
KALSHIChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Above -0.6298%
- Above -0.60+1.0pt95%
- Above -0.58+7.0pt86%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 26,6 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+2.5pt79.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt17.5%
- 50+ bps increase+1.4pt2.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change+1.0pt52.9%
- 25 bps increase+1.5pt47.1%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+19.0pt73.7%
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt16.7%
- Hike more than 25bps+7.0pt7.9%
+2 resultados más
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in November
- Hike 1-25bps52%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,3 mil €
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- US active housing listings in September
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- Swiss National Bank decision in September?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
- Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
- South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de ECB Interest Rates: December 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza 25 bps increase al 58% a fecha de 19 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve ECB Interest Rates: December 2026?
- Está previsto que ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 se resuelva el 17 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida ECB Interest Rates: December 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- ¿Dónde más está listado ECB Interest Rates: December 2026?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless.