PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No Change 59.2%-0.5ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.6 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
4 ago 26, 22:324 nov 26, 11:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Mercados abiertos
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0-1.0pt64.2%
- H 25-2.0pt20.2%
- C 258.3%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,5 mil €
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt84.6%
- Maintain current rate11.5%
- Cut more than 25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 64,6 mil €
KALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts57.1%
- Exactly 4 cuts+9.0pt26.1%
- 7 or more cuts+5.0pt9.2%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 64,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt86%
- No change-0.5pt13%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-0.5pt68.6%
- No Change+6.0pt31.4%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIBank of England rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate91.3%
- Hike 1-25bps5.8%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 20,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Bank of Brazil decision in November??
- Polymarket cotiza No Change al 59% a fecha de 23 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Bank of Brazil decision in November??
- Está previsto que Bank of Brazil decision in November? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Bank of Brazil decision in November??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.