KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 oct 2026, 20:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Hike 25bps · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Precio guardado
Hike 25bps 76.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
Hike 25bps 76.5%Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
372,7 €
Interés abierto
5,1 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Hike 25bpsSpread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado25 ago 26, 18:00 UTC18 dic 26, 3:29 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Hike 25bps
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Colombia rate decision in December
KalshiChile rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiNew Zealand rate decision in December
KalshiBank of Japan Decision in January?
PolymarketWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Hike 25bps at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Reglas de cada resultado
- Hike 25bps
- If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Hike 25bps at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maintain current rate
- If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Maintain current rate at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 25bps
- If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut 25bps at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Bank of Japan Decision in December? · 25 bps increase 78%