KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 9 sept 2026, 3:48 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Hike 25bps 94%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
94,6 €
Baja liquidezSpread
10.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
25 ago 26, 18:00 UTC18 dic 26, 3:29 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Mercados abiertos
Central Banks
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.6pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 591,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 39 mil €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 146,6 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-0.3pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Bank of Brazil decision in November?
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Bank of Japan rate decision in December?
- Kalshi cotiza Hike 25bps al 94% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Bank of Japan rate decision in December?
- Está previsto que Bank of Japan rate decision in December se resuelva el 18 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Bank of Japan rate decision in December?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.