KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Maintain current rate 81.1%Líder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
25 ago 26, 18:00 UTC29 oct 26, 13:14 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
European Central Bank rate decision in September
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank interest rate decision in September
FutuurCzech National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiWill Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExReglas
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Central Banks
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt97%
- No change+0.6pt2%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 588,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 39,7 mil €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0-1.0pt63%
- H 2525.9%
- C 25-1.0pt5.6%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 12,6 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-0.6pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.3pt3%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 144,6 mil €
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- Kalshi cotiza Maintain current rate al 81% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- Está previsto que European Central Bank rate decision in October se resuelva el 29 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.