Awards | Mercados de Predicción

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

2.3%3m

Harry Kane

+2.3%43%

Lamine Yamal

+0.5%26%

Kylian Mbappé

12%

+86 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithmHarry Kane43%· ±1 pts

100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total21,2 M US$

Volumen 24h252,1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year

Grand Theft Auto VI

65%

Resident Evil Requiem

+1.0%13%

Control Resonant

+1.0%8%

+14 resultados más

73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total1,4 M US$

Volumen 24h6,2 mil US$

KALSHI

Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

Country A

50%

Country B

50%

Country C

50%

+31 resultados más

64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total8,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h1 mil US$

POLYMARKET

Grammy Winner: Best New Artist

5.0%1a

Ella Langley

-5.0%83%

SIENNA SPIRO

+6.0%10%

Geese

-1.0%7%

+64 resultados más

80 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidez

Volumen total69,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h451,6 US$

KALSHI

2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner

2.0%1m

Bruno Fernandes

+2.0%78%

Declan Rice

+28.5%49%

Erling Haaland

-1.2%4%

+31 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithmBruno Fernandes78%· ±13 pts

56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez

Volumen total226,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h171,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Who will be the MLB National League MVP for the 2026 season

Shohei Ohtani

+1.3%87.3%

Kyle Schwarber

+0.3%3.5%

Corbin Carroll

-0.7%2.1%

+8 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario17 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽

Harry Kane

41%

Lamine Yamal

-1.5%24.6%

Kylian Mbappe

+0.9%15.1%

+16 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario179 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which awards will Shohei Ohtani win in 2026?

All-MLB Team

74.7%

Most Valuable Player

53.7%

Roberto Clemente Award

45.2%

+7 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario6 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Mina the Hollower MEGAMARKET

It will get a Metascore of 60 or more

100%

It will get a Metascore of 70 or more

100%

It will get a Metascore of 80 or more

100%

+16 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario14 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Project Hail Mary be nominated for Best Picture?

Sí

71.7%

28.3%

Pronóstico comunitario99 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

⚽ Will Lamine Yamal ever win Ballon d'Or?

17a

Sí

69.7%

30.3%

Pronóstico comunitario19 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi

64%

Alonso Martínez

-14.1%24%

Hugo Cuypers

+0.1%20%

+56 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total879,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h21,4 US$

POLYMARKET

Which restaurants will earn a MICHELIN star in the inaugural South Australia guide? (+Props)

Restaurant Botanic

84.4%

At least one restaurant in the Barossa Valley gets a star

75.7%

Penfolds Magill Estate Restaurant

54.8%

+15 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario7 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

42.6%3m

Mauricio Pineda

+11.3%45%

Jakob Glesnes

+19.3%45%

Sigurd Rosted

+12.9%45%

+108 resultados más

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total899,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Will the Oscars loosen rules on AI tool use by 2030?

55.6%

Sí

44.4%

Pronóstico comunitario4 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?

3.5%8m

Other

+3.5%55%

Pablo Picasso

+3.5%42%

Andy Warhol

-0.9%2%

+1 resultados más

60 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad

Volumen total6,8 mil US$

Volumen 24h20 US$

POLYMARKET

[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)

The Odyssey

-5.2%42.3%

Dune: Part Three

+1.1%11.1%

Digger

+0.8%8.9%

+19 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario56 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which game will win Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2026?

Grand Theft Auto VI

36.9%

Other

24.3%

Mina the Hollower

12.1%

+11 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario54 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

94%

Sí

Pronóstico comunitario67 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

98.8%

Sí

1.2%

Pronóstico comunitario19 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

EPL: 2026 PFA Team of the Year

0.5%25d

Gabriel Magalhães

+0.5%93%

Bruno Fernandes

93%

Declan Rice

92%

+28 resultados más

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total507 US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026

96%

Sí

Pronóstico comunitario13 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a 'The Streamer Awards' in 2026?

Sí

92.1%

7.9%

Pronóstico comunitario12 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 007 First Light be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards? (James Bond game from IO Studios)

Sí

86%

14%

Pronóstico comunitario10 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?

52.2%

Sí

47.8%

Pronóstico comunitario22 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture?

68.4%

Sí

31.6%

Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player

2.1%3m

Son Heung-min

+5.3%46%

Carles Gil

+2.5%45%

Anders Dreyer

+43.9%45%

+38 resultados más

24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total56,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

45.8%3m

Novak Mićović

+0.1%50%

Matt Freese

47%

Andre Blake

+47.0%47%

+53 resultados más

24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total24,7 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

POLYMARKET

Who will win the men's 2025/2026 Ballon d’Or?

Harry Kane

+0.7%43.1%

Lamine Yamal

-2.1%25.3%

Kylian Mbappe

+1.5%15.8%

+5 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario30 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽

Harry Kane

-4.4%43%

Lamine Yamal

-4.7%27.3%

Kyllian Mbappé

15.8%

+4 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario40 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030

8.0%3a

51%

Sí

-8.0%49%

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total1,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h52,8 US$

KALSHI

Will GTA 6 win GOTY (Game Awards)?

Sí

68.1%

31.9%

Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026

4.0%2m

Margaret Atwood

15%

Mircea Cărtărescu

14%

Anne Carson

14%

+7 resultados más

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total1,1 mil US$

Volumen 24h1 US$

KALSHI

Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?

10a

Prediction markets

+10.7%56.2%

Extra-terrestrial civilizations (Grabby aliens, Great Filter...)

-3.2%9.8%

Signalling

-1.3%5.9%

+7 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario16 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026

Partha Dasgupta

14%

Luigi Zingales

Robert Barro

+6 resultados más

24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total664,9 US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

KALSHI

2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner

Bruno Fernandes

64.9%

Declan Rice

50%

Bukayo Saka

50%

+2 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithmBruno Fernandes78%· ±13 pts

32 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total3 mil US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

LIMITLESS

Which novelette will win a Hugo award in 2026?

“The Millay Illusion” - Sarah Pinsker (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 67)

23.1%

“Never Eaten Vegetables” - H.H. Pak (Clarkesworld, Issue 220)

19%

“Kaiju Agonistes” - Scott Lynch (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 62)

18%

+3 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario1 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which short story will win a Hugo award in 2026?

“Wire Mother” - Isabel J. Kim (Clarkesworld, Issue 229)

24%

“10 Visions of the Future; or, Self-Care for the End of Days” - Samantha Mills (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 63)

18.4%

“Laser Eyes Ain’t Everything” - Effie Seiberg (Diabolical Plots, May 16, 2025)

17%

+3 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

The game awards 2026: Flute guy blows into >3 instruments

67.1%

Sí

32.9%

Pronóstico comunitario8 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Matt Damon be nominated for best actor at the Oscars for Odysseus?

Sí

68.7%

31.3%

Pronóstico comunitario11 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Rodri

50%

Harry Kane

42.5%

Lamine Yamal

25.8%

+7 resultados más

Referencia CoinRithmHarry Kane43%· ±1 pts

28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total827,3 US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

LIMITLESS

Will The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde?

77.4%

Sí

22.6%

Pronóstico comunitario5 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will hardmaru win the Japan’s Order of the Rising Sun?

1308a

84.4%

Sí

15.6%

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Pedri in Ballon d'Or top 10 in 2026?

Sí

71.6%

28.4%

Pronóstico comunitario10 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which town will win the UK Town of Culture 2028 title?

Leith

+6.9%18.2%

Ilfracombe

-0.5%5.8%

Isle of Bute

-0.5%5.8%

+12 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario5 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a restaurant in Berkeley get a Michelin star before 2030?

Sí

55.8%

44.2%

Pronóstico comunitario5 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026?

21.7%3m

Lamine Yamal

-0.2%37.5%

Other

+0.5%21.6%

Kylian Mbappé

+0.6%16%

+6 resultados más

28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total0 US$

Volumen 24h0 US$

MYRIAD