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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Society & Culture

Society & Culture

42 mercados relacionados seguidos en varias fuentes para Society & Culture.

Mercados Abiertos

33

Volumen Total

$154,697

Volumen 24h

$3,995

Liquidez Total

$22,646

Mercados Abiertos

33

Volumen Total

$154,697

Volumen 24h

$3,995

Liquidez Total

$22,646

Temas Relacionados

ReligionEntretenimientoCiencia

Temas

Crypto

Bitcoin577

Politics

Middle East370Geopolítica263Política4143Elección3217US Politics2337Latin America468

Macro

Fed114Corporate Actions215Commodities143

Sports

Deportes6245Soccer3137Baseball613Deportes electrónicos443Basketball381FIFA World Cup1038Tennis709American Football303

Tech

Tecnología605

Science

Space134

Weather

Weather296

Theme

Exchange546Stablecoin433

Entity

Binance421
Manifold Markets

Which users will attend Manifest 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

2m
Manifold Markets
Chris / strutheo
56.3%
Manifold Markets
@StochasticParrot
41%
Manifold Markets
@JoseLuisRicon
88.9%

+99 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario68 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total16,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h352,2 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?

10a
Manifold Markets
Sí
55.4%
Manifold Markets
No
44.6%
Pronóstico comunitario96 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total20,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h266 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

APUSH cheater prop bets

6m
Manifold Markets
has it p1
53.6%
Manifold Markets
has it p2
36.6%
Manifold Markets
is chinese
40%

+12 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario39 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total10,7 mil US$
Volumen 24h444,8 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

When will Manifest 2026 have 10+ session videos available online?

1m
Manifold Markets
Before June 14 2026 (no pressure)
8%
Manifold Markets
Before July 2026
21.2%
Manifold Markets
Before August 2026
37.2%

+3 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total815 US$
Volumen 24h815 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Another Elon baby by June 30?

Another Elon baby by June 30?

0.5%18d
Sí
Sí
7%
No
No
93%
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total56,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h137,2 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?

3a
Manifold Markets
Sí
8.5%
Manifold Markets
No
91.5%
Pronóstico comunitario13 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total688,1 US$
Volumen 24h300 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

3a
Manifold Markets
Sí
20%
Manifold Markets
No
80%
Pronóstico comunitario77 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total9,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h101 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

11m
Manifold Markets
Sí
25%
Manifold Markets
No
75%
Pronóstico comunitario15 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total1,2 mil US$
Volumen 24h122,2 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I earn at least $25 per hour grading USA(J)MO?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
98.4%
Manifold Markets
No
1.6%
Pronóstico comunitario29 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total18,4 mil US$
Volumen 24h201,9 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will @jim attend Manifest this year?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
94.3%
Manifold Markets
No
5.7%
Pronóstico comunitario24 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total2,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h125,6 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I make TST?

16d
Manifold Markets
Sí
33%
Manifold Markets
No
67%
Pronóstico comunitario19 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total1,4 mil US$
Volumen 24h148 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Aella die of natural causes?

195a
Manifold Markets
Sí
79.6%
Manifold Markets
No
20.4%
Pronóstico comunitario12 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total670,5 US$
Volumen 24h116 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

[snigus] Will I convince Destiny that managing AI-risk should be in top 2 policy priority of his?

19d
Manifold Markets
Sí
28%
Manifold Markets
No
72%
Pronóstico comunitario14 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total737,6 US$
Volumen 24h105,8 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Little Joe escape again?

Will Little Joe escape again?

0.9%1m
Sí
Sí
-0.0%5%
No
No
+0.0%95%
24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the Montgomery Blair Science Bowl team get hoodies for the 2025-26 year?

19d
Manifold Markets
Sí
48.2%
Manifold Markets
No
51.8%
Pronóstico comunitario17 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total2,7 mil US$
Volumen 24h77,1 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?

What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?

17.0%6m
Argentina
Argentina
-17.0%63%
Peru
Peru
74%
Portugal
Portugal
20%

+9 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1,7 mil US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

1.0%10m
Up
Up
-0.0%44%
Down
Down
+0.0%56%
24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

will mr beast will achive 500 million subscribers before 9/11

3m
Manifold Markets
Sí
98.7%
Manifold Markets
No
1.3%
Pronóstico comunitario9 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total990,3 US$
Volumen 24h60 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will my YouTube Channel have more than 15 subscribers at the end of June 2026?

19d
Manifold Markets
Sí
98.9%
Manifold Markets
No
1.1%
Pronóstico comunitario7 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total964,5 US$
Volumen 24h53,5 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US test scores in Reading in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

8.0%1a
No significant difference
No significant difference
+8.0%40%
Significant decrease
Significant decrease
-9.0%45%
Significant increase
Significant increase
-1.0%15%
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total448,5 US$
Volumen 24h18,3 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

@MarySmith attends Manifest '26?

4d
Manifold Markets
Sí
95.5%
Manifold Markets
No
4.5%
Pronóstico comunitario12 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total621,3 US$
Volumen 24h20 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US test scores in Math in 2026?

US test scores in Math in 2026?

21.0%1a
No significant difference
No significant difference
+21.0%43%
Significant increase
Significant increase
-37.0%7%
Significant decrease
Significant decrease
-2.0%45%
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total415,4 US$
Volumen 24h21,4 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will I attend Manifest?

3d
Manifold Markets
Sí
93.6%
Manifold Markets
No
6.4%
Pronóstico comunitario8 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total359,9 US$
Volumen 24h32,1 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Nothing Ever Happens 2026

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
70%
Manifold Markets
No
30%
Pronóstico comunitario20 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total598,1 US$
Volumen 24h3,1 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I get into any MATS tracks in the Autumn 2026 cohort?

19d
Manifold Markets
Sí
20.8%
Manifold Markets
No
79.2%
Pronóstico comunitario4 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total117,7 US$
Volumen 24h92,7 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I be below 265 pounds by January 11, 2027? (Today: 318.8 pounds)

7m
Manifold Markets
Sí
41.3%
Manifold Markets
No
58.7%
Pronóstico comunitario7 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total156,3 US$
Volumen 24h50 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?

Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?

2.0%1m
Sí
Sí
-0.0%21%
No
No
+0.0%79%
24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total106 US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

will we (husband + me) move back to our hometown within 3 years?

2a
Manifold Markets
Sí
57%
Manifold Markets
No
43%
Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total53,3 US$
Volumen 24h53,3 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

5.0%1a
Carnegie Mellon
Carnegie Mellon
-5.0%59%
WashU
WashU
44%
Michigan
Michigan
63%

+5 resultados más

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total119,1 US$
Volumen 24h0,2 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will my Manifest session with Robin Hanson be a success, in my opinion?

1d
Manifold Markets
Sí
61%
Manifold Markets
No
39%
Pronóstico comunitario7 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total55 US$
Volumen 24h14,1 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

3a
Sí
Sí
91%
No
No
9%
24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total49,6 US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

6m
Caltech
Caltech
32%
Columbia
Columbia
43%
UCLA
UCLA
0%

+8 resultados más

24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total17,2 US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

6m
Sí
Sí
38%
No
No
62%
24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total13,4 US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
KalshiKALSHI