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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Ciencia

Ciencia

112 mercados relacionados seguidos en varias fuentes para Ciencia.

Mercados Abiertos

103

Volumen Total

$73,757,791

Volumen 24h

$1,458,375

Liquidez Total

$3,629,994

Mercados Abiertos

103

Volumen Total

$73,757,791

Volumen 24h

$1,458,375

Liquidez Total

$3,629,994

Temas Relacionados

Health & MedicineSpaceIABusiness & Corporate

Temas

Crypto

Bitcoin574

Politics

Middle East372Geopolítica264Política4132Elección3210US Politics2332Latin America467

Macro

Fed113Commodities142Corporate Actions216

Sports

Deportes6213Soccer3127Baseball592Basketball409Deportes electrónicos441FIFA World Cup1020Tennis682American Football303

Tech

Tecnología629

Science

Ciencia103

Weather

Weather268

Theme

Exchange559Stablecoin430

Entity

Binance418

Noticias Relacionadas

Anthropic’s Claude Tackles Chemistry with NMR Structure AnalysisBlockchain.NewsQuantus’ Q-Day Brings Together Leading Cryptographers, Blockchain Builders, Investors, and Researchers to Prepare for the Post-Quantum FutureBlockchain Reporter
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3.0%6m
December 31
December 31
-3.0%11%
September 30
September 30
6%
June 30
June 30
-0.1%1%

+3 resultados más

73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total52,2 M US$
Volumen 24h1,4 M US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
20.8%
Manifold Markets
No
79.2%
Pronóstico comunitario149 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total187,6 mil US$
Volumen 24h3,8 mil US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3.0%6m
2
2
+1.5%63%
1
1
-3.0%28%
4
4
+0.1%5%

+3 resultados más

80 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total2,9 M US$
Volumen 24h4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

0.3%6m
Before 2027
Before 2027
+0.3%14%
Before July 2026
Before July 2026
-1.0%1%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 20, 2029
27%

+2 resultados más

91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total257,4 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,2 mil US$
KalshiKALSHI
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

0.3%6m
Sí
Sí
5%
No
No
95%
68 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total635,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h3 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

0.3%6m
11–13
11–13
+2.0%36%
14–16
14–16
+0.5%36%
17–19
17–19
-2.0%17%

+4 resultados más

52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total1,3 M US$
Volumen 24h590,2 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

1.3%18d
≤8
≤8
+2.5%49%
9
9
-5.0%25%
10
10
15%

+4 resultados más

52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total106 mil US$
Volumen 24h747,4 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

1m
Manifold Markets
Sí
80%
Manifold Markets
No
20%
Pronóstico comunitario402 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total206,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h342,8 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

3a
Manifold Markets
Sí
57.7%
Manifold Markets
No
42.3%
Pronóstico comunitario689 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total660 mil US$
Volumen 24h193,2 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?

Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?

6m
🇨🇦 Canada
🇨🇦 Canada
23.9%
🇬🇱 Greenland
🇬🇱 Greenland
15.3%
🇮🇸 Iceland
🇮🇸 Iceland
15.3%

+11 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total2,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,2 mil US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1.2%18d
2nd hottest
2nd hottest
+2.0%86%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest
+0.6%8%
1st hottest
1st hottest
-1.2%6%

+1 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total38,4 mil US$
Volumen 24h234,8 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

1.4%3m
<4m
<4m
+4.0%50%
4.0-4.2m
4.0-4.2m
+1.4%27%
4.2-4.4m
4.2-4.4m
-0.5%13%

+4 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total54,2 mil US$
Volumen 24h109,8 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

0.1%18d
Sí
Sí
2%
No
No
98%
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total31 mil US$
Volumen 24h128,9 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026

19d
Manifold Markets
432 or less
0.4%
Manifold Markets
432.0001-432.25
0.4%
Manifold Markets
432.2501-432.5
95.2%

+7 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario6 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total10,6 mil US$
Volumen 24h980 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be a Metagame 2026?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
96.1%
Manifold Markets
No
3.9%
Pronóstico comunitario10 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total6,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h500 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I make IMO in 2028

2a
Manifold Markets
Sí
39.5%
Manifold Markets
No
60.5%
Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total1,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h303,7 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

2a
Manifold Markets
Sí
96%
Manifold Markets
No
4%
Pronóstico comunitario996 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total10,3 M US$
Volumen 24h90 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

0.5%6m
Sí
Sí
+0.0%6%
No
No
94%
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total119,6 mil US$
Volumen 24h15,7 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

8a
Manifold Markets
Sí
41.9%
Manifold Markets
No
58.1%
Pronóstico comunitario85 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total22,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h105 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?

1a
Manifold Markets
Sí
53.4%
Manifold Markets
No
46.6%
Pronóstico comunitario50 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total13,1 mil US$
Volumen 24h104,7 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0.1%9m
0
0
+2.0%67%
1
1
21%
2
2
+0.3%5%

+3 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total1,1 M US$
Volumen 24h2,1 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

0.5%1m
Hong Wang
Hong Wang
-0.5%83%
John Pardon
John Pardon
+0.5%65%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman
-4.5%62%

+8 resultados más

71 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoLiquidez media
Volumen total532,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h65,3 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

10m
Manifold Markets
Sí
20.2%
Manifold Markets
No
79.8%
Pronóstico comunitario32 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total3,4 mil US$
Volumen 24h200 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

0.1%6m
Sí
Sí
7%
No
No
94%
60 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total224,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h91,5 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?

1a
Manifold Markets
Sí
51%
Manifold Markets
No
49%
Pronóstico comunitario29 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total1,2 mil US$
Volumen 24h215,4 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

18d
Sí
Sí
2%
No
No
98%
49 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total120,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9m
Sí
Sí
10%
No
No
91%
40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total95,2 mil US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

1.0%18d
Sí
Sí
+0.0%8%
No
No
-0.0%92%
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total78,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h2,4 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

0.2%6m
Sí
Sí
+0.2%3%
No
No
97%
60 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total13,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h38,4 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will I receive a score on the TSTST high enough to qualify for the TST

9d
Manifold Markets
Sí
52.9%
Manifold Markets
No
47.1%
Pronóstico comunitario17 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total866,4 US$
Volumen 24h308,5 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

0.5%6m
Sí
Sí
+0.0%25%
No
No
76%
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total222,6 mil US$
Volumen 24h32,1 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

5.0%6m
Uganda
Uganda
+37.5%100%
Kenya
Kenya
+19.5%78%
South Sudan
South Sudan
+2.5%67%

+10 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total14,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h69,4 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?

2a
Manifold Markets
Sí
30%
Manifold Markets
No
70%
Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total2,7 mil US$
Volumen 24h109 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
What will happen at IMO 2026? (add your questions!!)

What will happen at IMO 2026? (add your questions!!)

1m
At least 1/2 of all contestants receive at least bronze
At least 1/2 of all contestants receive at least bronze
55.7%
At least 1/4 of all contestants receive at least silver
At least 1/4 of all contestants receive at least silver
58.3%
At least 1/12 of all contestants receive at least gold
At least 1/12 of all contestants receive at least gold
60%

+28 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario76 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total8,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h21,7 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

6m
Manifold Markets
March 2026
0.4%
Manifold Markets
April 2026
0.4%
Manifold Markets
May 2026
0.4%

+8 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario11 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total1,1 mil US$
Volumen 24h118,4 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?

23a
Manifold Markets
2026
0%
Manifold Markets
2027
20.7%
Manifold Markets
2028
51.2%

+12 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario31 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total5,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h87 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

2.9%6m
Sí
Sí
-2.9%15%
No
No
85%
71 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoLiquidez media
Volumen total6,2 mil US$
Volumen 24h37,9 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

3.0%6m
Sí
Sí
+0.0%16%
No
No
-0.0%85%
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total8,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,1 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

2.5%6m
Sí
Sí
-0.0%8%
No
No
+0.0%92%
24 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total12,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h0 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6m
Sí
Sí
82%
No
No
19%
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total5,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h12,2 US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?

7m
Manifold Markets
Sí
74.8%
Manifold Markets
No
25.2%
Pronóstico comunitario12 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total2,1 mil US$
Volumen 24h57 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

2.0%6m
Kenya
Kenya
+2.0%55%
Republic of the Congo
Republic of the Congo
-5.0%10%
United States
United States
23%

+14 resultados más

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total2,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h14,5 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will I be able to purchase a robot that folds my laundry for me by the end of 2030?

4a
Manifold Markets
Sí
81.3%
Manifold Markets
No
18.7%
Pronóstico comunitario24 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total1,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h50 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

2.0%6m
Sí
Sí
+2.0%7%
No
No
93%
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h10 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

5.0%1m
Antares Nuclear
Antares Nuclear
+5.0%97%
Atomic Alchemy
Atomic Alchemy
-18.0%50%
Radiant Industries
Radiant Industries
10%

+7 resultados más

49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total2,2 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,9 US$
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will ASI be achieved less than a year after continual learning?

6a
Manifold Markets
Sí
33%
Manifold Markets
No
67%
Pronóstico comunitario12 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total656,6 US$
Volumen 24h71,6 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
13%
Manifold Markets
No
87%
Pronóstico comunitario23 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total7 mil US$
Volumen 24h75 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?

1a
Manifold Markets
Sí
42%
Manifold Markets
No
58%
Pronóstico comunitario23 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total5 mil US$
Volumen 24h61,9 US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS