Ciencia
568 mercados relacionados seguidos en varias fuentes para Ciencia.
Mercados Abiertos
483
Volumen Total
$113,958,325
Volumen 24h
$111,204
Liquidez Total
$18,264,051
Criptoactivos Relacionados
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
0.1%5m
+1.0%24%
17%
+0.1%7%
+6 resultados más
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total33,3 M US$
Volumen 24h41,8 mil US$
KALSHI
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
5m
6%
-0.1%3%
0%
+3 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total63,6 M US$
Volumen 24h24,3 mil US$
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
0.8%5m
68%
-0.8%32%
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total213,5 mil US$
Volumen 24h12,2 mil US$
KALSHI
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
1.0%5m
94%
-1.0%6%
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total314,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h2,6 mil US$
KALSHI
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
5.0%5m
99%
54%
+1.0%30%
+14 resultados más
Referencia CoinRithmUganda99%· ±1 pts
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total325,7 mil US$
Volumen 24h2,7 mil US$
KALSHI
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
1.0%5d
99%
96%
94%
+7 resultados más
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total305,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,5 mil US$
KALSHI
Total space launches in July
5.0%12d
+1.0%94%
-5.0%20%
-2.0%2%
+5 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total70,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h14,3 mil US$
KALSHI
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
3a
74.3%
25.7%
Pronóstico comunitario138 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
0.5%5m
-1.0%55%
+0.5%42%
2%
+3 resultados más
91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total3,2 M US$
Volumen 24h572,6 US$
POLYMARKET
Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?
12.0%5d
+1.0%99%
99%
99%
+8 resultados más
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total56,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,3 mil US$
KALSHI
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
0.3%5m
96%
-0.3%4%
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total1,6 M US$
Volumen 24h209 US$
KALSHIDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
13a
75%
25%
Pronóstico comunitario2217 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
10.4%14h
+12.0%35%
+8.5%34%
+1.0%18%
+5 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total22,4 mil US$
Volumen 24h2,4 mil US$
POLYMARKETHantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027?
1a
94%
6%
Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?
5m
90.3%
9.7%
Pronóstico comunitario18 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
12.0%14h
+12.0%90%
-10.5%11%
-2.7%1%
+4 resultados más
79 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total7,1 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,7 mil US$
POLYMARKET
Is Earth flat?
5m
98%
2%
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total51,7 mil US$
Volumen 24h101,1 US$
POLYMARKET
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
1.0%4m
+1.0%81%
-5.0%65%
-1.0%41%
+5 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total56,3 mil US$
Volumen 24h631,1 US$
KALSHIMajority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
5m
93.8%
6.2%
Pronóstico comunitario57 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
1.0%6a
-1.0%62%
13%
8%
+7 resultados más
72 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total131,8 mil US$
Volumen 24h203,6 US$
KALSHIAre the telepathy tapes actually documenting psychic abilities? (scientific consensus by 2026)
5m
99%
1%
Pronóstico comunitario28 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
1a
96%
4%
Pronóstico comunitario999 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I live to be 200 years old?
175a
88.1%
11.9%
Pronóstico comunitario75 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
3.0%5m
-5.0%25%
13%
13%
+3 resultados más
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total115,1 mil US$
Volumen 24h118,7 US$
KALSHIWill the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
3a
81.7%
18.3%
Pronóstico comunitario73 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSGreatest Mathematician of all time
4a
-1.8%58.7%
+1.5%21.7%
+0.1%4.8%
+50 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario191 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
5.0%5m
69%
-5.0%31%
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total16,1 mil US$
Volumen 24h1,8 mil US$
KALSHIWill AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?
23a
99.4%
99%
99%
+12 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario38 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?
24a
61.9%
38.1%
Pronóstico comunitario26 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
8a
58%
42%
Pronóstico comunitario88 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill we get a cure for cancer before 2027?
7m
99%
1%
Pronóstico comunitario25 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?
5.5%5m
+0.1%78%
-0.1%22%
36 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidez
Volumen total228 mil US$
Volumen 24h795,2 US$
POLYMARKETP != NP (will it be proven by April 2027)
8m
95.4%
4.6%
Pronóstico comunitario56 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill we be able to decode dolphin communication by 2030?
3a
66.5%
33.5%
Pronóstico comunitario34 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
5m
94.8%
5.2%
Pronóstico comunitario23 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
5m
99%
1%
Pronóstico comunitario141 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a polynomial-time algorithm for an NP-complete problem be published by 2030?
3a
91.2%
8.8%
Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?
5m
94.6%
94.5%
94.5%
+11 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
3a
54.5%
45.5%
Pronóstico comunitario249 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
3a
61.7%
38.3%
Pronóstico comunitario242 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I live to be at least 200 years old?
165a
88%
12%
Pronóstico comunitario127 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDoes Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)
73a
83.7%
16.3%
Pronóstico comunitario48 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
2a
90.2%
9.8%
Pronóstico comunitario22 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
13a
62.5%
37.5%
Pronóstico comunitario92 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
18a
50.3%
49.7%
Pronóstico comunitario471 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
5m
+37.5%100%
+6.0%68%
+0.5%54%
+10 resultados más
Referencia CoinRithmUganda99%· ±1 pts
36 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total28,9 mil US$
Volumen 24h753,1 US$
POLYMARKETWill we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
4a
90%
10%
Pronóstico comunitario95 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many critical severity cyber vulnerabilities will be found in December 2026?
5m
95.3%
86.2%
76.4%
+8 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS