¿Vino el COVID-19 de un laboratorio?
DeportesHealth & MedicineOne-OffCienciaChessWeatherGeopolítica13aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.4%
Pronosticadores
2,243
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
1 sept 22, 3:51 UTC1 ene 40, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Manifold MarketsDid Lyme disease come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsDid HIV come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PolymarketConservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiReglas
This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.
- (i.e. "I've looked at all notable evidence presented by both sides and have upwards of 98% confidence that a certain conclusion is correct, and it doesn't seem likely that any further relevant evidence will be forthcoming any time soon.")
- This will likely not occur until many years after Covid is no longer a subject of active political contention, motivations for various actors to distort or hide inconvenient evidence have died down, and a scientific consensus has emerged on the subject.
- For exactly when it will resolve, see @/IsaacKing/when-will-the-covid-lab-leak-market
- I will be conferring with the community extensively before resolving this market, to ensure I haven't missed anything and aren't being overconfident in one direction or another.
- As some additional assurance, see @/IsaacKing/will-my-resolution-of-the-covid19-l
Mercados abiertos
SportsKALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic58.2%
- Koki Matsuda+7.0pt41.8%
- Volumen total
- 4,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,5 M €
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Joaquin Niemann+18.7pt19.5%
- Rory McIlroy11%
- Jon Rahm-1.4pt5.1%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,4 M €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R-1.0pt14%
- Buffalo+1.0pt7.9%
- Seattle-1.0pt6.1%
+29 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 78 M €
KALSHITampa Bay vs Atlanta
- Atlanta-3.0pt50.5%
- Tampa Bay+2.0pt49.5%
- Volumen total
- 2,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
KALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Roma-6.0pt40.4%
- Tie+9.0pt37.4%
- Fenerbahce-7.0pt22.2%
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHISan Francisco vs Los Angeles R
- Los Angeles R64.4%
- San Francisco35.6%
- Volumen total
- 3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,9 M €
- FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- Trevisan vs Maristany Zuleta de Reales
- Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir
- Amgen Irish Open End of Round 1 Leader
- Eindhoven vs Shakhtar
- Tampa Bay vs Atlanta: Total Runs
- Lagutin vs Alcala Gurri
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Bayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- MVP Winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de ¿Vino el COVID-19 de un laboratorio??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 72% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve ¿Vino el COVID-19 de un laboratorio??
- Está previsto que ¿Vino el COVID-19 de un laboratorio? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida ¿Vino el COVID-19 de un laboratorio??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.