KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 80%+2.0pt
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
214,7 €
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
78.0% / 81.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
22 dic 25, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiThis Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsThis Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiReglas
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies
- The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 131,5 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volumen total
- 103,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 996,1 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 resultados más
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will 2026 be the hottest year ever??
- Kalshi cotiza Yes al 80% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will 2026 be the hottest year ever??
- Está previsto que Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will 2026 be the hottest year ever??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.