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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Ciencia
  3. Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

0.5% (24h)One-OffCienciaWeather6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 25%+0.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

37,4 €

Liquidez

1,6 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

24.0% / 25.0%

Spread

4.2%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 minutos

31 dic 25, 19:1731 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes25%

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:

Polymarket
  • - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

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How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,837.73+2.22%EthereumETH$1,657.40+1.61%SolanaSOL$65.25+1.53%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.37%XRPXRP$1.12+0.52%BNBBNB$596.39+1.77%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:

Polymarket
  • - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf