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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Regulación
  3. When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

2.0% (24h)RegulaciónTecnologíaOne-OffSpaceCorporate Actions6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 25%+2.0%
Líder entre 13 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

3,8 €

Liquidez

1,3 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

25.0% / 31.0%

Spread

24.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

26 mar 26, 0:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Before Jan 1, 202725%

Reglas

If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
  • CEO statements through official channels qualify.
  • Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
  • The announcement must occur after market issuance.
  • Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.

Mercados Relacionados

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

5,8 mil €
70-80B: 96%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

338,1 €
1.75-2.00T: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

96,3 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year?

0,1 €
Sí: 87%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

165,2 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,901.58+2.81%EthereumETH$1,659.28+2.18%SolanaSOL$65.35+2.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%BNBBNB$596.68+2.07%XRPXRP$1.12+0.96%

Noticias Relacionadas

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto NewsUK financial regulator moves to allow mutual funds 10% exposure to crypto ETNsCoindesk

Reglas

If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
  • CEO statements through official channels qualify.
  • Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
  • The announcement must occur after market issuance.
  • Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.