Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 97.5%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
18 sept 23, 7:29 UTC1 ene 27, 6:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025:
- https://venuscloudlife.com/small-mission/
- https://www.rocketlabusa.com/missions/upcoming-missions/first-private-mission-to-venus/
- This market resolve YES if Rocket Lab succesfully delivers any kind of atmospheric measurement probe into the Venusian atmosphere by the end of 2026.
- The probe does not need to successfully collect data or function; it just needs to actually enter the atmosphere.
- I have chosen a close time of 2026 to accomodate both the travel time to Venus and smaller delays.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025: