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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Ciencia
  3. Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

1.5% (24h)CienciaWeatherYearly3m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
<4m
<4m 51%+4.0%
Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

95,1 €

Liquidez

7 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

24.4% / 30.0%

Spread

22.9%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-0.8%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

20 nov 25, 23:561 oct 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

<4m51%

Reglas

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,678.63+2.61%EthereumETH$1,652.06+2.18%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.91%HyperliquidHYPE$54.80-0.63%XRPXRP$1.12+0.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.06%

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Reglas

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.