Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?
ClimaOne-OffManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 12 oct 2026, 13:58
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 13 oct 2026, 0:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1%
No99%
Ganada
Perdida
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Defined as effectively an ice-free arctic for any part of the year.
- Defined as <1MM Km^2 of sea ice in the arctic at any point (per Wikipedia definition)
- (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_sea_ice_decline#Ice-free_summer)
