KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 2 94%+16.0ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
591,3 €
Liquidez
3,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
13.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
2 jun 26, 14:00 UTC29 jun 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
PolymarketVesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
PolymarketWill any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
Manifold MarketsMount Spurr significant eruption by date?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program
Mercados abiertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 141,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 129,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 72,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 71,8 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 71,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza At least 2 al 94% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- Está previsto que Major volcano eruption in 2026? se resuelva el 29 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.