Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo change 69.5%+1.4ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+36.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
2 sept 26, 15:16 UTC28 oct 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · 50+ bps decrease 50%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 63%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Fed Decision in October? · No change 67%
Mercados abiertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volumen total
- 997 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 41,2 mil €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Fed decision in October??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No change al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Fed decision in October??
- Está previsto que Fed decision in October? se resuelva el 28 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Fed decision in October??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Fed decision in October??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket.