Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual11.59pm January 2 2029 76.4%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+2.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado24 sept 26, 8:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
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PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsReglas
He must have officially left the position, an announcement of a date to depart/resign does not resolve the market yes.
- All times in eastern time
- Out means, cessation of holding the role, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure