Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.
US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 54%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado30 jun 26, 16:51 UTC20 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 100 for any date after market creation up until January 1st 2029.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level.
- The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- IMF Portwatch: chokepoint6
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.?
- Está previsto que Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency. se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 100 for any date after market creation up until January 1st 2029.