LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual
No 75.6%
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
25 ago 26, 11:04 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered.
- However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying.
- Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 25%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 25% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
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+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 719,6 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
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+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 97,8 mil €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 resultados más
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31??
- Limitless cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31??
- Está previsto que Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31??
- Limitless liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Polymarket.