PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 8%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
82,6 mil €
Liquidez
576,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComments
514
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
14 mar 26, 0:251 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
