Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East22d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 4%-0.4ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
35 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
24 mil €
Alta liquidezComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
21 jul 26, 1:15 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
LimitlessWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.