Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Medio1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
December 31 · —
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Referencia guardada
December 31 5%Líder entre 5 opciones
December 31 5%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
18,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
2,1 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
December 31Spread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
21 jul 26, 1:15 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
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- 5
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- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
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Profundidad de mercado · December 31
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.