Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East22d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 23:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
September 30 2%-0.4pt
Calidad del mercado
37 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
59,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
5 ago 26, 0:26 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of the specified islands is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The islands that will be considered for resolution are: Farsi Island, Hengam Island, Hormuz Island and Kharg Island.
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over at least one of the specified islands, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.