Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East22d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 3%-0.1ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
77,4 €
Liquidez
11,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.4 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
2
Cambio 7d
+1.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
21 jul 26, 1:15 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
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MyriadReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.