When will Israel next strike Iranian territory? (window closes Nov 30, 2026)
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo strike before December 1, 2026 41.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+16.5 pts
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado21 oct 26, 7:52 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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When will Israel next strike Iranian territory? The window opens when this market is created and ends on November 30, 2026 at 23:59 UTC.
- What counts as a strike: an Israeli military attack (aircraft, missile, drone or special forces) that hits a target inside Iran's internationally recognized territory.
- That covers Iranian land, territorial waters and airspace (for example, shooting down an aircraft over Iran).
- Joint US–Israeli strikes count.
- All of the following count only if the Israeli government or IDF officially acknowledges the strike, or at least two of Reuters, AP and BBC attribute it to Israel:
- covert sabotage
