KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
None · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Precio guardado
None 78%Líder entre 3 opciones
None 78%Calidad del mercado
42 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
230,8 €
Interés abierto
1,1 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
NoneSpread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
7 oct 26, 23:30 UTC11 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · None
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?
KalshiWhich lists will win a Knesset seat?
KalshiIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PolymarketWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Central Elections Committee
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. The None market resolves Yes if each bloc's seat total is 60 or fewer and No if either bloc's total is 61 or more; it does not measure the seats won by lists outside both blocs. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel.
Reglas de cada resultado
- None
- If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Netanyahu bloc
- If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Opposition bloc
- If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.