Probabilidad implícita actual
Xavier Becerra 94.1%-0.3pt
Calidad del mercado
78 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
121,5 €
Liquidez
530,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
95.1% / 95.4%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 28 minutos
10 ene 25, 15:003 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Xavier Becerra95%
Comparar plataformas· Xavier Becerra
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 95% | — | 121,5 € | 530,9 mil € | hace 28 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets80% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 98% | — | — | — | hace 46 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3m
97.8%
1.9%
0.2%
Pronóstico comunitario27 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — Nohace 9 d
KALSHIRepublican party — Nohace 9 d$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 10 d
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 10 d$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 10 d
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 10 d$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 11 d
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 11 d$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 11 d
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshace 11 dTendencia de volumen
$1382 jul26d de datos27 jul
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.