Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDemocratic Party 96%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado10 abr 24, 17:56 UTC4 nov 26, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- También disponible en Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- También disponible en PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- También disponible en Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 93%
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 114,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 185,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Democratic Party al 96% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- Está previsto que California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- ¿Dónde más está listado California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Kalshi, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).