KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Likud 98%Líder entre 22 opciones
Calidad del mercado
47 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
910,7 €
Liquidez
3,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
28 ago 26, 22:00 UTC27 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
If the named outcome has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Central Elections Committee
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which lists will win a Knesset seat??
- Kalshi cotiza Likud al 98% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which lists will win a Knesset seat??
- Está previsto que Which lists will win a Knesset seat? se resuelva el 27 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which lists will win a Knesset seat??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.