PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualSí 6%+0.0%
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
22,5 mil €
Liquidez
34,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
6.0% / 6.3%
Spread
5.0%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
+1.6%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
6 ene 26, 19:4530 jun 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Yes6%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership.
- Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
- Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
- Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.