Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
PolíticaMaterias primasIAGeopolítica1m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Before 2027 8.6%Líder entre 4 opciones
Before 2027 8.6%Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado8 mar 26, 17:18 UTC31 dic 26, 17:13 UTC
Tendencias
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LimitlessReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States takes control of Kharg Island for at least an hour before the specified deadline.
- Control is defined as US military forces establishing and maintaining physical presence on the island with the ability to direct operations.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets, official US government statements, or documented military operations.
- The market resolves NO if the deadline passes without such control being established.
- Kharg Island is a 5-mile strip of land that serves as Iran's most important oil facility, an export terminal in the Persian Gulf that handles up to 90 percent of the nation's crude.
