If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Oriente MedioGeopolíticaElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20265d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67.6%
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38
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado16 mar 26, 17:30 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Dems win Senate before 1/20/29?
Manifold MarketsIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
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PolymarketReglas
If this market resolves yes before the 2026 midterms,
- https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-the-us-put-boots-on-the-ground?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
- and this market resolves Yes to one of the options involving D Senate,
- https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/balance-of-power-who-will-control-t?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
- this market will resolve Yes.
- N/A if the first market resolves No (or isn’t resolved prior to the midterms)
