Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 13%-1.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
17,2 €
Liquidez
10,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
62
Cambio 7d
-2.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
17 mar 26, 21:51 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by which date?
PolymarketWill China launch a military operation against Taiwan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsManifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if participation by Israeli military personnel in a ground operation in Iran on or after February 28, 2026, is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory.
- For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered.
- Only operations involving Israeli troops on the ground within the terrestrial territory of Iran will qualify.
- Official confirmation by the Israeli military of personnel operating on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately.