🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 93.7%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado25 jun 25, 3:37 UTC19 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of President Donald Trump's term on January 20, 2029, there is credible evidence of U.S. military personnel being deployed on Iranian soil.
- Acceptable sources for verification include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense, reputable news organizations, or other authoritative reports confirming such deployment.
- If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
- Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for a YES resolution, the U.S. military personnel must be fighting on the ground.
- Spies or CIA agents will not be counted.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term??
- Está previsto que 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term? se resuelva el 19 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria