🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaOriente Medio2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 93.7%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado25 jun 25, 3:37 UTC19 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsDoes the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold MarketsWill the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPalestinians resettled en masse to Iran during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of President Donald Trump's term on January 20, 2029, there is credible evidence of U.S. military personnel being deployed on Iranian soil.
- Acceptable sources for verification include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense, reputable news organizations, or other authoritative reports confirming such deployment.
- If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
- Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for a YES resolution, the U.S. military personnel must be fighting on the ground.
- Spies or CIA agents will not be counted.
