2026 Midterms: Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Dems win Senate before 1/20/29?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónCrimen y justiciaElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20262aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 70.3%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado17 jul 26, 13:08 UTC19 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any of the following three conditions occur at any point between July 17, 2026, and 12:00 PM EST on January 20, 2029:
- Donald Trump leaves office: Donald J. Trump ceases to hold the office of President of the United States.
- This includes resignation, removal via impeachment conviction, removal under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, or death.
- Family member indicted: Melania Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, Eric Trump, Tiffany Trump, Barron Trump, or Jared Kushner is formally indicted on state or federal criminal charges (or if a criminal information is filed by prosecutors).
- Civil lawsuits or civil complaints do not qualify.
