Manifold MarketsSin KYCPronóstico comunitario actual1. April 30 0.9%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 días
Desactualizado5 abr 26, 20:431 ene 27, 0:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
1. April 301%
Mercados Relacionados
Nothing Ever Happens: July
3,6 mil €Nothing: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
296,6 €Before August: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of July? [Polymarket]
263,7 €Sí: 49%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
63,2 €Sí: 55.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 35 billion on June 30, 2026?
1,8 €Sí: 87.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
176 mil €December 31: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.