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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Middle East
  3. Iran leadership change by...?
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

0.2% (24h)One-OffMiddle East6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31
December 31 30%+1.0%
Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado

73 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

52,4 mil €

Liquidez

161,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

4.3% / 4.8%

Spread

11.6%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

+0.2%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

9 mar 26, 2:5931 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
March 31
March 31
0%
March 13
March 13
0%
April 30
April 30
0%
May 31
May 31
0%

Resultado elegido

December 3130%

Manifold MarketsTambién disponible en Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Iran leadership change by...?

6m
Manifold Markets
March 13
0%
Manifold Markets
March 31
0%
Manifold Markets
April 30
0%

+7 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario28 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total11,2 mil €
Volumen 24h170,3 €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
  • An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

Mercados Relacionados

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

4,5 M €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

1,3 M €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1,2 M €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

18,4 mil €
Sí: 5.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

12 mil €
Sí: 9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
  • An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.