FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 20%Líder entre 3 opciones
December 31 20%Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
980,5 €
Baja liquidezTraders
16
Comentarios
1
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
This event predicts whether Mojtaba Khamenei will cease to act as the de facto leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran at any point between the creation of this event and the date specified in each market (the “Event Period”).
- For this event, Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to have ceased to be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses the ability to exercise the authority associated with the country’s supreme leadership position.
- If Mojtaba Khamenei ceases to act as the de facto leader of Iran at any time before the deadline of a given market, that market will resolve to “Yes”.
- If he remains the de facto leader through that deadline, the market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement confirming Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation, removal, or loss of authority will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if the effective date of the change occurs later.
- Temporary absences, short-term incapacitation, or delegation of authority that does not permanently remove him from leadership will not qualify.