Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
One-OffElecciónMiddle EastGeopolíticaPolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.7%
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54
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado10 dic 24, 2:44 UTC1 ene 27, 12:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Syria underwent regime change on Dec 8th, 2024, when rebel forces took the capital, Damascus.
- The former Syrian Prime Minister, Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali, has been appointed the head of the caretaker government during a transition period.
- al-Jalali called for free elections to be held, in which the Syrian people can choose who they want to lead their country.
- Will Syria hold such elections, before the end of 2026?
- This market will resolve YES on a free election that elects a head of government or head of state, or members of a legislature that chooses (or the leading coalition of which chooses) a head of government or head of state, from its members or otherwise, or an election that elects electors to elect a head of government or head of state, or any other system through which it can be reasonably said for the people to have freely elected a head of government or head of state.
- If the election is a sham, or if the leadership positions are merely symbolic and true power remains with an unelected leader, that won't be sufficient for a YES resolution.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Syria underwent regime change on Dec 8th, 2024, when rebel forces took the capital, Damascus.