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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

One-OffPolíticaEurope6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 22%
Calidad del mercado

72 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

112 €

Liquidez

28,8 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

5 nov 25, 19:4031 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes22%

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.