KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin actividad de trading
Datos del 17 sept 2026, 7:31 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Oct 1, 2026 0%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaSpread
15.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
17 sept 26, 4:00 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
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KalshiReglas
If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Government of GermanyGerman BundestagOffice of the Federal Chancellor of GermanyReutersAssociated Press
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Oct 1, 2026 al 0% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor??
- Está previsto que Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.