Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
0.2 pts (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRusia / UcraniaEuropa1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 6 nov 2026, 12:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
December 31, · —
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Referencia guardada
December 31, 2%Líder entre 4 opciones
December 31, 2%Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,5 mil €
Liquidez
64,4 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
274,2 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
December 31,Spread
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Comentarios
64
Cambio 7d
-2.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado28 may 25, 22:16 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
December 31, 2025Perdida
June 30,Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
September 30,Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · December 31,
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
- Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.