Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 80.7%
Pronosticadores
42
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado16 ene 24, 13:30 UTC2 ene 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if at any time before 2028, Russian military forces invade a country with NATO membership.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- I do not think these words necessitate hair-splitting, as I am setting up this market in good faith and trust that people in the near future are still able to negotiate the proper meanings of e.g. 'military forces' and 'invasion' in this particular context.
- But I am happy to clarify any edge cases that people can come up with.
- If so, I will update the description accordingly.
- Some points:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 80.7% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if at any time before 2028, Russian military forces invade a country with NATO membership.