Probabilidad implícita actual
No 92%+0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
17,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
16
Cambio 7d
-1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
25 may 26, 1:55 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election.
- Announcements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify.
- If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
