Este mercado se resolvió: No 3–6%
Resuelto: 31 ago 2026, 11:50
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 ago 2026, 22:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 3–6% 100%+0.5ptLíder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
47 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
788,6 €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 días
Desactualizado27 ago 26, 16:20 UTC29 ago 26, 23:59 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
No 3–6%100%
Yes 15%+0%
Yes 12–15%7%
Yes 9–12%0%
Yes 6–9%4%
Yes 3–6%0%
Yes <3%0%
No <3%0%
No 6–9%0%
No 9–12%0%
No 12–15%0%
No 15%+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No".
- Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.